Victor Gensini

Research Emphases

• Severe convective storms
• Climate variability and change
• Prediction

Frequently Taught Courses

• EAE 105: Weather, Climate and You
• MET 300: Meteorology
• MET 421/521: Synoptic Meteorology

Representative Publications

Andrews, M. S., V. A. Gensini, A. M. Haberlie, W. S. Ashley, A. C. Michaelis, and M.Taszarek, 2024: Climatology of the elevated mixed layer over the contiguous United States and northern Mexico using ERA5: 1979–2021. J. Climate., 37, 1833–1851. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D23-0517.1.

Ashley, W. S., A. M. Haberlie, and V. A. Gensini, 2023: The future of supercells in the United States. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1–E21. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0027.1.

Miller, D. E., and V. A. Gensini, 2023: GEFSv12 high- and low-skill day 10 tornado forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 1195–1207. DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0122.1.

Miller, D. E., V. A. Gensini, and B. S. Barrett, 2022: Madden-Julian Oscillation influences on US springtime tornado and hail frequency. npj Climate and Atmos. Science., 5, 37. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-022-00263-5

Bundy, L., V. A. Gensini, and M. Russo, 2022: Insured corn losses in the U.S. from weather and climate perils. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., DOI:  10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0245.1

Gensini V. A. , A. M. Haberlie, and W. S. Ashley, 2022: Convection-permitting simulations of historical and possible future climate over the contiguous United States. Clim. Dyn., DOI:  10.1007/s00382-022-06306-0

Gensini V. A., C. Converse, W. S. Ashley, and M. Taszarek, 2021: Machine learning classification of significant tornadoes and hail in the U.S. using ERA5 proximity soundings. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 2143-2160, DOI:  10.1175/WAF-D-21-0056.1

Gensini V. A. , A. M. Haberlie, and P. T. Marsh, 2020: Practically perfect hindcasts of severe convective storms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E1259–E1278, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0321.1

Gensini V. A. , B. S. Barrett, J. T. Allen, D. Gold, and P. Sirvatka, 2020: The Extended Range Tornado Activity Forecast (ERTAF) Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E700–E709, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0188.1

Gensini, V. A., D. Gold, J. T. Allen, and B. S. Barrett, 2019: Extended U.S. tornado outbreak during late May 2019: A forecast of opportunity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084470

Gensini, V. A., and L. B. de Guenni, 2019: Environmental covariate representation of seasonal U.S. tornado frequency. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 58, 1353–1367. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0305.1

Gensini, V. A., and M. K. Tippett, 2019: Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) predictions of days 1–15 U.S. tornado and hail frequencies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 2922–2930. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081724

Gensini, V. A., and H. E. Brooks, 2018: Spatial trends in United States tornado activity. npj Climate and Atmos. Science., 1, 1–5. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-018-0048-2

Grants

National Science Foundation, Advancing our understanding of intraseasonal U.S. severe convective storm variability. 2021–2025, Role: PI.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Understanding and mitigating future weather and climate risks to American agriculture. 2023–2026, Role: Co-PI.

National Science Foundation, IUCRC Planning Grant Northern Illinois University: Center for Interdisciplinary Research on Convective Storms (CIRCS) 2024–2025, Role: PI.