Extreme Weather, Climate Variability/Change, Prediction
Specific Research Endeavors
My research umbrella covers extreme weather and climate, with specific interests focused on: severe convective storms, synoptic/mesoscale meteorology, applied climatology, GIS techniques, geoscience data visualization, weather forecasting and climate change. My research has primarily focused on the relationship between severe convective storms and climate change by utilizing dynamical downscaling from a convective permitting regional climate model. Currently, a majority of my research is examining weather and climate dynamics that explain variability in extreme weather (e.g., hail, tornadoes, heavy rain, heat waves) frequency and analyzing ways to forecast these events at sub-seasonal to seasonal time scales.
Frequently Taught Courses
GEOG 105: Weather, Climate and You
MET 300: Meteorology
GEOG 368: Climate Change, Impacts and Mitigation
MET 421: Synoptic Meteorology
GEOG 493: Programming for Geographic and Atmospheric Science
Ashley W. S., A. M. Haberlie, and V. A. Gensini, 2020: Reduced frequency and size of late twenty-first-century snowstorms over North America. Nat. Clim. Chang., 10, 539–544, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0774-4
Gensini V. A. , A. M. Haberlie, and P. T. Marsh, 2020: Practically perfect hindcasts of severe convective storms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E1259–E1278, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0321.1
Gensini V. A. , B. S. Barrett, J. T. Allen, D. Gold, and P. Sirvatka, 2020: The Extended Range Tornado Activity Forecast (ERTAF) Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E700–E709, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0188.1
Tang, B. H., V. A. Gensini, and C. R. Homeyer, 2019: Trends in United States large hail environments and observations. npj Climate and Atmos. Science., 2, 45. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0103-7
Changnon, D., and V. A. Gensini, 2019: Changing spatiotemporal patterns of 5- and 10-day Illinois heavy precipitation amounts, 1900-2018. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 58, 1523–1533. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0335.1
Gensini, V. A., D. Gold, J. T. Allen, and B. S. Barrett, 2019: Extended U.S. tornado outbreak during late May 2019: A forecast of opportunity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084470
Gensini, V. A., and L. B. de Guenni, 2019: Environmental covariate representation of seasonal U.S. tornado frequency. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 58, 1353–1367. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0305.1
Gensini, V. A., and M. K. Tippett, 2019: Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) predictions of days 1–15 U.S. tornado and hail frequencies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 2922–2930. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081724
Gensini, V. A., and H. E. Brooks, 2018: Spatial trends in United States tornado activity. npj Climate and Atmos. Science., 1, 1–5. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-018-0048-2
National Science Foundation 2021-2024. Advancing Our Understanding of Intraseasonal United States Severe Convective Storm Variability. Role: PI.
National Science Foundation 2017-2021. Collaborative Research: Observed and Future Dynamically Downscaled Estimates of Precipitation Associated with Mesoscale Convective Systems. Role: PI.