WhiteHouse 2000

flash... The Nader & Buchanan Factors

Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan were spoilers in two states each.

If Nader had not run, Al Gore would have won Florida and New Hampshire with Nader votes. The Nader votes were not a factor in Maine and Minnesota.

If Buchanan had not run, George W. Bush would have won Iowa and Wisconsin with Buchanan votes. But, if Nader had also not run, Gore would have regained his lead with Nader votes.

[Revised Friday, Nov. 10, 2000. Votes as of Thursday, Nov. 9, 2000.]

FLORIDA (before recount) 25 electoral votes
Al Gore (D)2,907,351 49%
George W. Bush (R)2,909,135 49
Difference 1,784 - Gore would have won with Nader votes
Ralph Nader (G)96,915 2
Patrick Buchanan (RP)17,358 0

NEW HAMPSHIRE (100%) 4 electoral votesd
Al Gore (D)265,853 47%
George W. Bush (R)273,135 48
Difference 7,882 - Gore would have won with Nader votes
Ralph Nader (G)22,156 4
Patrick Buchanan (RP)2,603 0

***********************************************

IOWA (99%) 7 electoral votes
Al Gore (D)634,475 49%
George W. Bush (R)629,521 48
Difference 4,954
- Bush would have won with Buchanan votes
- But Gore would have regained his lead with Nader votes
Ralph Nader (G)27,726 2
Patrick Buchanan (RP)6,830 1

WISCONSIN (before recount) 11 electoral votes
Al Gore (D)1,240,266 48%
George W. Bush (R)1,234,167 48
Difference 6,099
- Bush would have won with Buchanan votes
- But Gore would have regained his lead with Nader votes
Ralph Nader (G)93,167 4
Patrick Buchanan (RP)11,256 0

***********************************************

MAINE (99%)
Al Gore (D)315,466 49%
George W. Bush (R)283,988 44
Difference 31,478
Ralph Nader (G)37,757 6
Patrick Buchanan (RP)4,315 1

MINNESOTA (99%)
Al Gore (D)1,166,505 48%
George W. Bush (R)1,109,240 45
Difference 57,265
Ralph Nader (G)127,561 5
Patrick Buchanan (RP)23,892 1

# More on the Ralph Nader factor

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